News & Publications
August 4, 2025 |
Corn yields forecast to hit record high amid favorable weather conditions
New high by Aug. 12?
Ag Marketing IQ: WASDE and crop production reports on Aug. 12 are expected to top the charts. Weather patterns supporting exceptional corn development have analysts projecting record-breaking national yields, with the average bushels per acre falling in the mid-180s. Farmers preparing to market this potentially historic crop will need strategic approaches as December futures have already adjusted downward in anticipation of an abundant supply.
As we move toward harvest, optimism is mounting within the corn market. Industry chatter points to a projected U.S. corn yield significantly above the long-term trend, supported by recent weather patterns reminiscent of historic wet spells. In fact, this July may rank as the wettest for the Corn Belt since 1993, with more precipitation expected this month.
Trade estimates now peg national corn yield in the mid-180s bushels per acre range, a level that, if realized, would set a new all-time record for the United States. This is echoed by recent USDA projections. Market watchers now figure USDA’s July estimate of 181 bpa was cautious. Crucially, the portion of the crop rated as “good” to “excellent” in late July stayed above 72%—a rare occurrence that has happened only five times in previous decades. Such high ratings at this point in the season typically foreshadow strong final yields, provided weather cooperates through harvest.
