News & Publications

News & Publications

July 11, 2023 | Larry Shonkwiler

Bullish, bearish or wait and see?

Bullish, bearish or wait and see?

The USDA will release its July Supply and Demand report tomorrow, July 12. With corn and soybean markets on a roller coaster ride since early June, what the government publishes will be closely scrutinized. That is, before the market goes back to trading forecasted/actual weather.

On June 30, the USDA shocked the market by printing a corn acreage figure which exceeded the average trade estimate by 2.2 million acres (read: potentially more corn). The soybean number was 4.2 million BELOW the trade average (read: potentially very tight bean supplies).

Needless to say, the market‘s response to the report that day was rather dramatic with Dec Corn falling 33 ¾ cents, while Nov Bean futures rocketed 77 ½ higher! So, tomorrow’s response could be interesting and, potentially volatile as well.

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